Codex Populi
Country · AFG

Afghanistan

41.5M
Population · 2023 · UN 2024
2.85%
Growth rate · 2023 · UN 2024
4.84
Fertility rate · 2023 · UN 2024
66.0 yrs
Life expectancy · 2023 · UN 2024

Population projection

Afghanistan195019802010204020702100050M100M150Mpeople
UN · release 2026.08.5

What forecasters project

Each forecaster’s central projection for Afghanistan, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.

Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 202320002020204020602080210020M40M60M80M100M120M140Mpeople

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 130M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 141M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 130M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 111M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 106M, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Afghanistan population, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
UN 201076.2M—
UN 201256.6M59.2M
WIC 201375.3M112M
UN 201556.0M—
UN 201761.9M—
WIC 201877.4M108M
UN 201964.7M74.9M
IHME 202083.8M130M
UN 202274.1M111M
WIC 202375.6M106M
Census 202585.8M141M
UN 2024 (current)76.9M130M

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Afghanistan are not listed.

Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 2023replacement2000202020402060208021002.003.004.005.006.007.00

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 2.06, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 2.03, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.65, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.87, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.70, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Afghanistan total fertility rate, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
WIC 20132.90—
WIC 20182.94—
IHME 20203.331.65
UN 20222.621.87
WIC 20232.69—
Census 20252.792.03
UN 2024 (current)3.092.06

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Afghanistan are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).

Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.