Codex Populi
Country · ARM

Armenia

2.9M
Population · 2023 · UN 2024
2.79%
Growth rate · 2023 · UN 2024
1.71
Fertility rate · 2023 · UN 2024
75.7 yrs
Life expectancy · 2023 · UN 2024

Population projection

Armenia1950198020102040207021001M1.5M2M2.5M3M3.5Mpeople
UN · release 2026.08.5

What forecasters project

Each forecaster’s central projection for Armenia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.

Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 20232000202020402060208021001.5M2M2.5M3Mpeople

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.7M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.3M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.8M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.6M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 2.1M, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Armenia population, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
UN 20102.93M—
UN 20122.78M2.02M
WIC 20132.88M2.29M
UN 20152.73M—
UN 20172.70M—
WIC 20182.43M1.65M
UN 20192.82M2.04M
IHME 20202.81M1.78M
UN 20222.57M1.60M
WIC 20232.51M2.14M
Census 20252.52M1.29M
UN 2024 (current)2.50M1.69M

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Armenia are not listed.

Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 2023replacement2000202020402060208021001.401.601.802.00

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.67, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.43, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.62, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.75, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Armenia total fertility rate, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
WIC 20131.70—
WIC 20181.68—
IHME 20201.541.43
UN 20221.601.62
WIC 20231.77—
Census 20251.701.70
UN 2024 (current)1.691.67

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Armenia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).

Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.