Codex Populi
Country · AZE

Azerbaijan

10.3M
Population · 2023 · UN 2024
-0.26%
Growth rate · 2023 · UN 2024
1.67
Fertility rate · 2023 · UN 2024
74.4 yrs
Life expectancy · 2023 · UN 2024

Population projection

Azerbaijan1950198020102040207021004M6M8M10M12M14Mpeople
UN · release 2026.08.5

What forecasters project

Each forecaster’s central projection for Azerbaijan, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.

Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 20232000202020402060208021009M10M11Mpeople

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 10M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 9.3M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 8.7M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 8.3M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 9.7M, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Azerbaijan population, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
UN 201011.6M—
UN 201210.5M8.43M
WIC 201311.7M10.3M
UN 201511.0M—
UN 201711.0M—
WIC 201810.5M8.42M
UN 201911.1M9.19M
IHME 202011.4M8.69M
UN 202210.9M8.27M
WIC 202311.2M9.69M
Census 202511.4M9.29M
UN 2024 (current)11.2M10.0M

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Azerbaijan are not listed.

Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 2023replacement2000202020402060208021001.601.802.00

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.62, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.50, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.64, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.68, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Azerbaijan total fertility rate, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
WIC 20131.70—
WIC 20181.71—
IHME 20201.731.50
UN 20221.631.64
WIC 20231.66—
Census 20251.701.70
UN 2024 (current)1.631.62

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Azerbaijan are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).

Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.