Bahamas
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Bahamas, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 385k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 591.5k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 278.7k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 402.8k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 399.9k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 445k | — |
| UN 2012 | 494k | 504k |
| WIC 2013 | 477k | 469k |
| UN 2015 | 489k | — |
| UN 2017 | 475k | — |
| WIC 2018 | 496k | 548k |
| UN 2019 | 463k | 460k |
| IHME 2020 | 414k | 279k |
| UN 2022 | 451k | 403k |
| WIC 2023 | 447k | 400k |
| Census 2025 | 502k | 591k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 424k | 385k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Bahamas are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.51, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.38, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.57, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.46, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.70 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.62 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| UN 2022 | 1.48 | 1.57 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.44 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.53 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.41 | 1.51 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Bahamas are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.