Barbados
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Barbados, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 194.7k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 121k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 182.2k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 203k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 257k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 264k | — |
| UN 2012 | 314k | 316k |
| WIC 2013 | 271k | 202k |
| UN 2015 | 282k | — |
| UN 2017 | 280k | — |
| WIC 2018 | 244k | 181k |
| UN 2019 | 277k | 215k |
| IHME 2020 | 283k | 182k |
| UN 2022 | 268k | 203k |
| WIC 2023 | 281k | 257k |
| Census 2025 | 232k | 121k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 264k | 195k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Barbados are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.66, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.24, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.36, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.64, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2095, latest 1.59, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.45 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.43 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| UN 2022 | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.61 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.68 | 1.66 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Barbados are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.