Belarus
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Belarus, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 4.4M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 6.2M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 5.5M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 6.5M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 7.3M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 8.00M | — |
| UN 2012 | 7.36M | 5.60M |
| WIC 2013 | 8.17M | 6.09M |
| UN 2015 | 8.12M | — |
| UN 2017 | 8.57M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 8.51M | 7.83M |
| UN 2019 | 8.63M | 7.43M |
| IHME 2020 | 8.09M | 5.53M |
| UN 2022 | 8.41M | 6.47M |
| WIC 2023 | 8.66M | 7.32M |
| Census 2025 | 8.45M | 6.18M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 7.45M | 4.35M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Belarus are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.49, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.40, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.72, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.57, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.60 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.59 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.48 | 1.40 |
| UN 2022 | 1.66 | 1.72 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.55 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.54 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.38 | 1.49 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Belarus are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.