Brazil
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Brazil, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 163M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 204M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 165M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 185M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 183M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 223M | — |
| UN 2012 | 231M | 195M |
| WIC 2013 | 233M | 189M |
| UN 2015 | 238M | — |
| UN 2017 | 233M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 230M | 180M |
| UN 2019 | 229M | 181M |
| IHME 2020 | 234M | 165M |
| UN 2022 | 231M | 185M |
| WIC 2023 | 228M | 183M |
| Census 2025 | 238M | 204M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 217M | 163M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Brazil are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.58, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.44, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.63, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.58, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.58 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.47 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| UN 2022 | 1.60 | 1.63 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.52 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.72 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.56 | 1.58 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Brazil are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.