Bulgaria
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Bulgaria, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 3.5M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 4M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 2.6M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 2.9M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 4.2M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 5.46M | — |
| UN 2012 | 5.08M | 3.53M |
| WIC 2013 | 5.73M | 4.04M |
| UN 2015 | 5.15M | — |
| UN 2017 | 5.42M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 5.00M | 2.91M |
| UN 2019 | 5.39M | 3.59M |
| IHME 2020 | 5.09M | 2.62M |
| UN 2022 | 5.19M | 2.94M |
| WIC 2023 | 5.56M | 4.20M |
| Census 2025 | 5.74M | 3.99M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 5.40M | 3.53M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Bulgaria are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.68, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.25, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.68, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.65, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.60 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.62 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.34 | 1.25 |
| UN 2022 | 1.65 | 1.68 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.61 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.70 | 1.68 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Bulgaria are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.