Canada
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Canada, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 54M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 44M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 44M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 54M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 44M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 43.6M | — |
| UN 2012 | 45.2M | 50.9M |
| WIC 2013 | 46.9M | 54.8M |
| UN 2015 | 44.1M | — |
| UN 2017 | 44.9M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 44.3M | 56.5M |
| UN 2019 | 45.7M | 57.0M |
| IHME 2020 | 43.5M | 44.1M |
| UN 2022 | 45.9M | 53.9M |
| WIC 2023 | 42.1M | 44.3M |
| Census 2025 | 43.4M | 43.7M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 45.6M | 53.6M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Canada are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.49, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.40, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.58, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.57, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.58, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.80 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.79 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.68 | 1.58 |
| UN 2022 | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.64 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.39 | 1.49 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Canada are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.