Chile
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Chile, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 13M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 12M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 16M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 17M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 16M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 20.1M | — |
| UN 2012 | 20.8M | 18.8M |
| WIC 2013 | 20.7M | 17.7M |
| UN 2015 | 21.6M | — |
| UN 2017 | 20.7M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 19.7M | 16.5M |
| UN 2019 | 20.3M | 17.3M |
| IHME 2020 | 20.3M | 15.5M |
| UN 2022 | 20.7M | 16.8M |
| WIC 2023 | 20.4M | 16.5M |
| Census 2025 | 19.3M | 12.1M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 20.3M | 13.4M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Chile are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.41, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.25, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.37, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.61, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.53, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.54 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.53 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.52 | 1.37 |
| UN 2022 | 1.56 | 1.61 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.48 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.24 | 1.41 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Chile are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.