Costa Rica
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Costa Rica, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 3.8M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 5.2M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 3.9M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 4.5M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 4.9M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 6.00M | — |
| UN 2012 | 6.19M | 5.32M |
| WIC 2013 | 6.85M | 6.70M |
| UN 2015 | 5.76M | — |
| UN 2017 | 5.77M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 5.90M | 5.34M |
| UN 2019 | 5.77M | 4.80M |
| IHME 2020 | 5.48M | 3.87M |
| UN 2022 | 5.70M | 4.53M |
| WIC 2023 | 5.75M | 4.93M |
| Census 2025 | 5.98M | 5.19M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 5.35M | 3.78M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Costa Rica are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.49, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.30, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.60, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.50, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.70 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.46 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| UN 2022 | 1.54 | 1.60 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.46 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.38 | 1.49 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Costa Rica are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.