Cuba
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Cuba, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 5.6M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 3.9M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 4.5M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 6.5M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 8M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 9.90M | — |
| UN 2012 | 9.39M | 5.46M |
| WIC 2013 | 9.43M | 5.06M |
| UN 2015 | 10.3M | — |
| UN 2017 | 10.8M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 9.40M | 4.62M |
| UN 2019 | 10.2M | 6.67M |
| IHME 2020 | 9.43M | 4.52M |
| UN 2022 | 10.0M | 6.48M |
| WIC 2023 | 10.5M | 8.05M |
| Census 2025 | 7.99M | 3.93M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 9.38M | 5.58M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Cuba are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.57, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.33, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.41, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.61, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.66, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.42 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.40 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.44 | 1.41 |
| UN 2022 | 1.57 | 1.61 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.65 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.41 | 1.33 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.51 | 1.57 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Cuba are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.