Dominica
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Dominica, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
4 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 49.1k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 48.3k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 43.7k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 52.9k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 64.8k | — |
| UN 2012 | 76.0k | 64.4k |
| UN 2015 | 74.2k | — |
| UN 2017 | 76.7k | — |
| UN 2019 | 70.9k | 51.3k |
| IHME 2020 | 67.5k | 43.7k |
| UN 2022 | 74.2k | 52.9k |
| Census 2025 | 66.4k | 48.3k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 63.2k | 49.1k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Dominica are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
4 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.56, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.41, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.63, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| IHME 2020 | 1.48 | 1.41 |
| UN 2022 | 1.60 | 1.63 |
| Census 2025 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Dominica are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.