El Salvador
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for El Salvador, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 5.1M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 4.5M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.4M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 4.3M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 5.1M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 7.61M | — |
| UN 2012 | 6.91M | 5.54M |
| WIC 2013 | 6.52M | 5.19M |
| UN 2015 | 6.39M | — |
| UN 2017 | 7.00M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 6.57M | 4.12M |
| UN 2019 | 6.94M | 4.77M |
| IHME 2020 | 5.65M | 1.43M |
| UN 2022 | 6.64M | 4.28M |
| WIC 2023 | 6.37M | 5.10M |
| Census 2025 | 6.63M | 4.49M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 6.66M | 5.07M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for El Salvador are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.62, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.20, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.32, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.66, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.86, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.71 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.71 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| UN 2022 | 1.67 | 1.66 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.79 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.21 | 1.20 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.65 | 1.62 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for El Salvador are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.