Eritrea
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Eritrea, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 8.4M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 11M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 7M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 8.6M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 6.1M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 11.6M | — |
| UN 2012 | 14.3M | 21.8M |
| WIC 2013 | 11.2M | 13.8M |
| UN 2015 | 10.4M | — |
| UN 2017 | 9.61M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 8.32M | 9.09M |
| UN 2019 | 6.01M | 9.06M |
| IHME 2020 | 8.79M | 7.01M |
| UN 2022 | 5.96M | 8.58M |
| WIC 2023 | 5.40M | 6.14M |
| Census 2025 | 8.92M | 11.4M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 5.70M | 8.44M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Eritrea are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.95, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.27, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.88, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2095, latest 1.87, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.08 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.05 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.62 | 1.27 |
| UN 2022 | 2.48 | 1.88 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.46 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.29 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.60 | 1.95 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Eritrea are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.