Ethiopia
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Ethiopia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 367M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 305M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 223M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 324M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 283M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 145M | — |
| UN 2012 | 188M | 243M |
| WIC 2013 | 159M | 190M |
| UN 2015 | 188M | — |
| UN 2017 | 191M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 184M | 191M |
| UN 2019 | 205M | 294M |
| IHME 2020 | 205M | 223M |
| UN 2022 | 215M | 324M |
| WIC 2023 | 209M | 283M |
| Census 2025 | 196M | 305M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 225M | 367M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Ethiopia are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.88, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.33, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.87, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.66, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.11 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.88 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.79 | 1.33 |
| UN 2022 | 2.59 | 1.87 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.43 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.49 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.55 | 1.88 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Ethiopia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.