France
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for France, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 68M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 68M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 67M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 61M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 73M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 72.4M | — |
| UN 2012 | 73.2M | 79.1M |
| WIC 2013 | 75.9M | 83.5M |
| UN 2015 | 71.1M | — |
| UN 2017 | 70.6M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 74.0M | 86.8M |
| UN 2019 | 67.6M | 65.5M |
| IHME 2020 | 70.6M | 67.2M |
| UN 2022 | 65.8M | 60.9M |
| WIC 2023 | 68.6M | 73.0M |
| Census 2025 | 70.7M | 68.0M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 68.2M | 68.5M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for France are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.65, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.78, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.75, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.73, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.90 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.90 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.84 | 1.78 |
| UN 2022 | 1.77 | 1.75 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.81 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.65 | 1.65 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for France are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.