Gambia
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Gambia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 5.7M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 5.1M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 3.6M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 6.7M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 5.5M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 4.04M | — |
| UN 2012 | 4.87M | 8.42M |
| WIC 2013 | 3.39M | 4.01M |
| UN 2015 | 4.98M | — |
| UN 2017 | 4.56M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 3.75M | 4.43M |
| UN 2019 | 4.88M | 8.18M |
| IHME 2020 | 3.68M | 3.63M |
| UN 2022 | 4.67M | 6.67M |
| WIC 2023 | 4.39M | 5.52M |
| Census 2025 | 3.83M | 5.07M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 4.30M | 5.70M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Gambia are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.82, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.32, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.89, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.68, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.13 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.10 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.81 | 1.32 |
| UN 2022 | 2.62 | 1.89 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.43 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.38 | 1.82 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Gambia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.