Germany
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Germany, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 71M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 73M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 66M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 69M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 74M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 74.8M | — |
| UN 2012 | 72.6M | 56.9M |
| WIC 2013 | 78.9M | 68.6M |
| UN 2015 | 74.5M | — |
| UN 2017 | 79.2M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 80.2M | 84.2M |
| UN 2019 | 80.1M | 74.7M |
| IHME 2020 | 83.2M | 66.4M |
| UN 2022 | 78.9M | 68.9M |
| WIC 2023 | 80.9M | 73.6M |
| Census 2025 | 79.8M | 72.6M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 78.3M | 70.9M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Germany are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.60, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.35, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.61, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.49, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.60 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.60 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.43 | 1.35 |
| UN 2022 | 1.58 | 1.61 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.51 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.54 | 1.60 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Germany are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.