Guatemala
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Guatemala, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 26M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 17M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 22M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 26M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 25M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 31.6M | — |
| UN 2012 | 31.4M | 46.5M |
| WIC 2013 | 25.9M | 30.5M |
| UN 2015 | 27.8M | — |
| UN 2017 | 27.0M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 25.2M | 25.7M |
| UN 2019 | 26.9M | 31.3M |
| IHME 2020 | 24.5M | 21.9M |
| UN 2022 | 24.6M | 26.2M |
| WIC 2023 | 24.3M | 25.0M |
| Census 2025 | 20.1M | 17.0M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 24.7M | 25.9M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Guatemala are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.70, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.40, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.32, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.72, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.69, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.00 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.96 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.57 | 1.32 |
| UN 2022 | 1.87 | 1.72 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.72 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.43 | 1.40 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.88 | 1.70 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Guatemala are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.