Iceland
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Iceland, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 362.6k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 435.1k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 378.6k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 368.5k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 451.1k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 431k | — |
| UN 2012 | 415k | 413k |
| WIC 2013 | 498k | 631k |
| UN 2015 | 389k | — |
| UN 2017 | 390k | — |
| WIC 2018 | 396k | 439k |
| UN 2019 | 377k | 353k |
| IHME 2020 | 398k | 379k |
| UN 2022 | 409k | 368k |
| WIC 2023 | 420k | 451k |
| Census 2025 | 418k | 435k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 433k | 363k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Iceland are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.56, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.72, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.66, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.86, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.99 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.98 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.85 | 1.72 |
| UN 2022 | 1.67 | 1.66 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.95 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.80 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.51 | 1.56 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Iceland are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.