Jamaica
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Jamaica, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.1M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 2.8M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 854.6k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 897.1k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 2.1M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 2.57M | — |
| UN 2012 | 2.81M | 2.05M |
| WIC 2013 | 2.87M | 2.24M |
| UN 2015 | 2.71M | — |
| UN 2017 | 2.70M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.64M | 1.34M |
| UN 2019 | 2.96M | 1.79M |
| IHME 2020 | 2.45M | 855k |
| UN 2022 | 2.49M | 897k |
| WIC 2023 | 2.78M | 2.11M |
| Census 2025 | 3.13M | 2.83M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.45M | 1.07M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Jamaica are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.50, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.36, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.56, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.60, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.77 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.68 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.41 | 1.36 |
| UN 2022 | 1.45 | 1.56 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.53 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.72 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.41 | 1.50 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Jamaica are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.