Kiribati
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Kiribati, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 222.6k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 140.6k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 342.3k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 238.7k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 175.3k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 156k | — |
| UN 2012 | 156k | 185k |
| UN 2015 | 178k | — |
| UN 2017 | 178k | — |
| WIC 2018 | 162k | 156k |
| UN 2019 | 177k | 239k |
| IHME 2020 | 212k | 342k |
| UN 2022 | 189k | 239k |
| WIC 2023 | 174k | 175k |
| Census 2025 | 139k | 141k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 183k | 223k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Kiribati are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.95, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 2.32, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.94, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.76, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2018 | 2.11 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.68 | 2.32 |
| UN 2022 | 2.53 | 1.94 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.09 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.48 | 1.95 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Kiribati are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.