Lebanon
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Lebanon, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 7.2M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 6.8M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 8.7M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 4.7M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 7.1M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 4.68M | — |
| UN 2012 | 5.32M | 4.11M |
| WIC 2013 | 5.19M | 4.46M |
| UN 2015 | 5.61M | — |
| UN 2017 | 5.41M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 8.20M | 8.72M |
| UN 2019 | 6.53M | 5.71M |
| IHME 2020 | 11.4M | 8.75M |
| UN 2022 | 4.94M | 4.75M |
| WIC 2023 | 7.13M | 7.11M |
| Census 2025 | 6.24M | 6.82M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 7.00M | 7.19M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Lebanon are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.75, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.78, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.45, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.71, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.59, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.57 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.44 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.69 | 1.45 |
| UN 2022 | 1.82 | 1.71 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.64 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.94 | 1.78 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.90 | 1.75 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Lebanon are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.