Libya
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Libya, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 9.8M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 11M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 8.6M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 8.5M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 9.5M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 8.77M | — |
| UN 2012 | 8.35M | 7.64M |
| WIC 2013 | 9.87M | 10.2M |
| UN 2015 | 8.37M | — |
| UN 2017 | 8.12M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 8.24M | 7.85M |
| UN 2019 | 8.53M | 8.01M |
| IHME 2020 | 8.98M | 8.58M |
| UN 2022 | 8.54M | 8.47M |
| WIC 2023 | 8.88M | 9.54M |
| Census 2025 | 9.73M | 10.8M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 9.26M | 9.78M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Libya are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.72, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.66, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.72, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2095, latest 1.62, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.81 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.76 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.84 | 1.66 |
| UN 2022 | 1.85 | 1.72 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.71 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.24 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.82 | 1.72 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Libya are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.