Madagascar
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Madagascar, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 85M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 62M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 106M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 83M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 66M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 53.6M | — |
| UN 2012 | 55.5M | 105M |
| WIC 2013 | 45.2M | 59.2M |
| UN 2015 | 55.3M | — |
| UN 2017 | 53.8M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 46.1M | 59.9M |
| UN 2019 | 54.0M | 100M |
| IHME 2020 | 61.8M | 106M |
| UN 2022 | 51.6M | 83.3M |
| WIC 2023 | 48.9M | 66.4M |
| Census 2025 | 46.4M | 62.4M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 53.2M | 85.3M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Madagascar are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 2.06, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 2.00, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.61, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.97, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.63, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.08 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.04 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 3.12 | 1.61 |
| UN 2022 | 2.68 | 1.97 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.21 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.09 | 2.00 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.82 | 2.06 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Madagascar are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.