Malawi
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Malawi, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 59M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 42M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 37M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 59M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 51M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 49.7M | — |
| UN 2012 | 41.2M | 85.0M |
| WIC 2013 | 41.0M | 68.0M |
| UN 2015 | 43.2M | — |
| UN 2017 | 41.7M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 42.6M | 67.3M |
| UN 2019 | 38.1M | 66.6M |
| IHME 2020 | 33.0M | 36.5M |
| UN 2022 | 37.2M | 58.5M |
| WIC 2023 | 36.3M | 51.4M |
| Census 2025 | 30.9M | 41.6M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 37.4M | 59.1M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Malawi are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.95, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 2.00, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.60, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.91, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.67, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.85 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.87 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.85 | 1.60 |
| UN 2022 | 2.57 | 1.91 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.53 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.15 | 2.00 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.55 | 1.95 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Malawi are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.