Codex Populi
Country · MDV

Maldives

0.5M
Population · 2023 · UN 2024
0.32%
Growth rate · 2023 · UN 2024
1.58
Fertility rate · 2023 · UN 2024
81.0 yrs
Life expectancy · 2023 · UN 2024

Population projection

Maldives195019802010204020702100100k200k300k400k500k600kpeople
UN · release 2026.08.5

What forecasters project

Each forecaster’s central projection for Maldives, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.

Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 2023200020202040206020802100300k400k500k600k700kpeople

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 474.9k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 395.8k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 566.9k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 469.4k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 656.3k, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Maldives population, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
UN 2010405k—
UN 2012504k474k
WIC 2013462k428k
UN 2015494k—
UN 2017576k—
WIC 2018584k563k
UN 2019586k490k
IHME 2020657k567k
UN 2022570k469k
WIC 2023692k656k
Census 2025450k396k
UN 2024 (current)590k475k

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Maldives are not listed.

Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions

UN 2024Census 2025IHME 2020UN 2022WIC 2023replacement2000202020402060208021001.401.601.802.002.202.402.60

5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.58, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.38, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.65, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.53, projected).

UN · Census · IHME · WIC · release 2026.08.5
Maldives total fertility rate, projected 2050 and 2100, by revision
Revision 20502100
WIC 20131.57—
WIC 20181.56—
IHME 20201.561.38
UN 20221.651.65
WIC 20231.53—
Census 20251.701.70
UN 2024 (current)1.541.58

Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Maldives are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).

Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.