Mali
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Mali, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 79M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 70M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 85M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 87M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 70M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 42.1M | — |
| UN 2012 | 45.2M | 101M |
| WIC 2013 | 36.1M | 48.1M |
| UN 2015 | 45.4M | — |
| UN 2017 | 44.0M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 36.5M | 46.3M |
| UN 2019 | 43.6M | 80.4M |
| IHME 2020 | 52.4M | 85.2M |
| UN 2022 | 47.4M | 87.1M |
| WIC 2023 | 44.5M | 70.0M |
| Census 2025 | 41.6M | 69.9M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 46.2M | 79.4M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Mali are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 2.08, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.47, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 2.05, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.71, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.46 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.46 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 3.22 | 1.47 |
| UN 2022 | 3.44 | 2.05 |
| WIC 2023 | 3.05 | — |
| Census 2025 | 3.18 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 3.37 | 2.08 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Mali are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.