Mexico
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Mexico, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 130M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 143M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 146M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 116M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 146M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 144M | — |
| UN 2012 | 156M | 140M |
| WIC 2013 | 152M | 145M |
| UN 2015 | 164M | — |
| UN 2017 | 164M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 160M | 139M |
| UN 2019 | 155M | 142M |
| IHME 2020 | 167M | 146M |
| UN 2022 | 144M | 116M |
| WIC 2023 | 149M | 146M |
| Census 2025 | 153M | 143M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 149M | 130M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Mexico are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.67, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.44, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.66, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.68, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.80 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.74 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.76 | 1.44 |
| UN 2022 | 1.68 | 1.66 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.71 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.72 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.70 | 1.67 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Mexico are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.