Mongolia
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Mongolia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 5.5M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 3.9M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 6.1M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 5.3M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 5.4M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 4.09M | — |
| UN 2012 | 3.75M | 3.94M |
| WIC 2013 | 3.78M | 3.59M |
| UN 2015 | 4.03M | — |
| UN 2017 | 4.08M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 3.86M | 3.59M |
| UN 2019 | 4.45M | 5.39M |
| IHME 2020 | 4.52M | 6.07M |
| UN 2022 | 4.52M | 5.26M |
| WIC 2023 | 4.56M | 5.41M |
| Census 2025 | 4.17M | 3.93M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 4.50M | 5.52M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Mongolia are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.79, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.98, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.79, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.74, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.86 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.84 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.38 | 1.98 |
| UN 2022 | 2.03 | 1.79 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.35 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.71 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.99 | 1.79 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Mongolia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.