Nepal
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Nepal, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 32M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 31M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 18M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 34M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 33M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 46.5M | — |
| UN 2012 | 36.5M | 34.4M |
| WIC 2013 | 51.4M | 55.1M |
| UN 2015 | 36.2M | — |
| UN 2017 | 36.1M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 38.9M | 36.2M |
| UN 2019 | 35.3M | 23.7M |
| IHME 2020 | 34.3M | 18.1M |
| UN 2022 | 37.4M | 33.8M |
| WIC 2023 | 34.9M | 32.5M |
| Census 2025 | 35.3M | 30.7M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 34.6M | 31.8M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Nepal are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.67, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.20, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.69, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.69, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.84 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.75 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.19 | 1.20 |
| UN 2022 | 1.76 | 1.69 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.64 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.73 | 1.67 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Nepal are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.