Nicaragua
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Nicaragua, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 8.6M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 6.3M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 4.8M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 9.1M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 8.3M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 7.85M | — |
| UN 2012 | 8.36M | 7.90M |
| WIC 2013 | 7.44M | 6.66M |
| UN 2015 | 7.86M | — |
| UN 2017 | 7.88M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 7.59M | 5.80M |
| UN 2019 | 8.53M | 8.12M |
| IHME 2020 | 7.92M | 4.81M |
| UN 2022 | 9.09M | 9.14M |
| WIC 2023 | 8.60M | 8.26M |
| Census 2025 | 7.74M | 6.29M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 8.76M | 8.61M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Nicaragua are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.72, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.44, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.71, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.76, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.76 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.69 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.54 | 1.44 |
| UN 2022 | 1.86 | 1.71 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.75 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.71 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.86 | 1.72 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Nicaragua are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.