Nigeria
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Nigeria, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 477M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 623M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 791M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 546M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 697M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 390M | — |
| UN 2012 | 440M | 914M |
| WIC 2013 | 371M | 576M |
| UN 2015 | 399M | — |
| UN 2017 | 411M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 383M | 603M |
| UN 2019 | 401M | 733M |
| IHME 2020 | 490M | 791M |
| UN 2022 | 377M | 546M |
| WIC 2023 | 401M | 697M |
| Census 2025 | 405M | 623M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 359M | 477M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Nigeria are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.91, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.80, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.69, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.98, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.76, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 3.08 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 3.10 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.86 | 1.69 |
| UN 2022 | 2.99 | 1.98 |
| WIC 2023 | 3.44 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.93 | 1.80 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.66 | 1.91 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Nigeria are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.