North Korea
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for North Korea, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 20M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 24M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 13M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 20M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 18M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 26.4M | — |
| UN 2012 | 27.1M | 25.0M |
| WIC 2013 | 24.9M | 17.6M |
| UN 2015 | 26.9M | — |
| UN 2017 | 26.8M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 24.8M | 17.4M |
| UN 2019 | 26.6M | 22.8M |
| IHME 2020 | 23.5M | 13.0M |
| UN 2022 | 25.8M | 20.5M |
| WIC 2023 | 25.2M | 17.9M |
| Census 2025 | 27.4M | 23.6M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 25.8M | 19.5M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for North Korea are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.64, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.30, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.67, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.52, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.40 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.39 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.38 | 1.30 |
| UN 2022 | 1.69 | 1.67 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.42 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.67 | 1.64 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for North Korea are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.