Panama
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Panama, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 5.9M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 6.5M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 6.9M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 6.2M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 5.6M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 5.13M | — |
| UN 2012 | 5.77M | 6.28M |
| WIC 2013 | 5.18M | 5.17M |
| UN 2015 | 5.60M | — |
| UN 2017 | 5.83M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 5.42M | 5.50M |
| UN 2019 | 5.85M | 6.44M |
| IHME 2020 | 5.72M | 6.94M |
| UN 2022 | 5.74M | 6.21M |
| WIC 2023 | 5.55M | 5.63M |
| Census 2025 | 5.80M | 6.51M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 5.63M | 5.90M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Panama are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.74, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.82, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.81, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.74, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.63, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.76 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.75 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.98 | 1.81 |
| UN 2022 | 1.93 | 1.74 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.63 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.05 | 1.82 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.86 | 1.74 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Panama are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.