Papua New Guinea
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Papua New Guinea, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 19M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 22M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 27M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 19M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 16M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 13.5M | — |
| UN 2012 | 13.1M | 17.0M |
| WIC 2013 | 11.5M | 11.8M |
| UN 2015 | 13.2M | — |
| UN 2017 | 13.9M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 12.2M | 12.8M |
| UN 2019 | 14.2M | 19.8M |
| IHME 2020 | 17.4M | 27.0M |
| UN 2022 | 14.9M | 18.5M |
| WIC 2023 | 14.9M | 16.4M |
| Census 2025 | 15.9M | 22.4M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 14.9M | 18.6M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Papua New Guinea are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.88, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.73, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.83, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.87, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2095, latest 1.57, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.90 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.89 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.85 | 1.83 |
| UN 2022 | 2.33 | 1.87 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.85 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.38 | 1.73 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.36 | 1.88 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Papua New Guinea are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.