Peru
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Peru, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 38M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 33M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 52M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 42M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 36M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 38.8M | — |
| UN 2012 | 41.1M | 39.8M |
| WIC 2013 | 35.2M | 29.7M |
| UN 2015 | 41.9M | — |
| UN 2017 | 41.6M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 39.7M | 34.9M |
| UN 2019 | 40.4M | 39.2M |
| IHME 2020 | 49.2M | 51.8M |
| UN 2022 | 42.0M | 42.1M |
| WIC 2023 | 39.4M | 36.4M |
| Census 2025 | 38.0M | 33.3M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 40.6M | 38.2M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Peru are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.68, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.75, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.71, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.72, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.75 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.76 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.15 | 1.75 |
| UN 2022 | 1.83 | 1.71 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.70 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.78 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.74 | 1.68 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Peru are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.