Philippines
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Philippines, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 114M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 103M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 169M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 180M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 163M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 155M | — |
| UN 2012 | 157M | 188M |
| WIC 2013 | 141M | 147M |
| UN 2015 | 148M | — |
| UN 2017 | 151M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 145M | 150M |
| UN 2019 | 144M | 146M |
| IHME 2020 | 153M | 169M |
| UN 2022 | 158M | 180M |
| WIC 2023 | 154M | 163M |
| Census 2025 | 131M | 103M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 134M | 114M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Philippines are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.67, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.31, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.78, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.79, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.70, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.90 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.91 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.25 | 1.78 |
| UN 2022 | 2.15 | 1.79 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.89 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.73 | 1.67 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Philippines are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.