Saint Lucia
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Saint Lucia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 108.2k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 94.8k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 114.6k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 121.5k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 146k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 205k | — |
| UN 2012 | 207k | 171k |
| WIC 2013 | 219k | 188k |
| UN 2015 | 207k | — |
| UN 2017 | 182k | — |
| WIC 2018 | 157k | 88.3k |
| UN 2019 | 182k | 122k |
| IHME 2020 | 185k | 115k |
| UN 2022 | 178k | 122k |
| WIC 2023 | 182k | 146k |
| Census 2025 | 168k | 94.8k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 172k | 108k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Saint Lucia are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.50, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.28, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.58, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.56, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.59 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.58 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| UN 2022 | 1.47 | 1.58 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.52 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.42 | 1.50 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Saint Lucia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.