São Tomé and Príncipe
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for São Tomé and Príncipe, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 534k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 380.7k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 197.9k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 531.8k, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 370.6k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 299k | — |
| UN 2012 | 388k | 568k |
| WIC 2013 | 220k | 202k |
| UN 2015 | 353k | — |
| UN 2017 | 380k | — |
| WIC 2018 | 293k | 253k |
| UN 2019 | 394k | 708k |
| IHME 2020 | 274k | 198k |
| UN 2022 | 367k | 532k |
| WIC 2023 | 332k | 371k |
| Census 2025 | 307k | 381k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 365k | 534k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for São Tomé and Príncipe are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.97, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.25, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.95, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.84, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.92 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.90 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.37 | 1.25 |
| UN 2022 | 2.63 | 1.95 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.36 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.06 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.59 | 1.97 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for São Tomé and Príncipe are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.