Serbia
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Serbia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 3.7M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 4M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 4.1M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 3.3M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 5.6M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 8.80M | — |
| UN 2012 | 7.07M | 4.05M |
| WIC 2013 | 9.52M | 7.79M |
| UN 2015 | 7.33M | — |
| UN 2017 | 7.45M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 7.20M | 4.93M |
| UN 2019 | 7.08M | 4.22M |
| IHME 2020 | 7.23M | 4.14M |
| UN 2022 | 5.78M | 3.27M |
| WIC 2023 | 6.62M | 5.62M |
| Census 2025 | 5.69M | 4.03M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 5.53M | 3.70M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Serbia are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.60, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.34, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.62, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.56, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.60 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.59 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.42 | 1.34 |
| UN 2022 | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.55 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.55 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.56 | 1.60 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Serbia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.