Somalia
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Somalia, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 67M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 87M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 63M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 66M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 69M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 28.2M | — |
| UN 2012 | 27.1M | 54.0M |
| WIC 2013 | 16.0M | 17.9M |
| UN 2015 | 27.0M | — |
| UN 2017 | 35.9M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 30.0M | 39.2M |
| UN 2019 | 34.9M | 75.7M |
| IHME 2020 | 38.5M | 62.5M |
| UN 2022 | 36.5M | 66.3M |
| WIC 2023 | 36.9M | 69.0M |
| Census 2025 | 41.4M | 87.3M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 37.2M | 67.4M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Somalia are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 2.19, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 2.15, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 2.57, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 2.06, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.88, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.52 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.51 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 3.53 | 2.57 |
| UN 2022 | 3.49 | 2.06 |
| WIC 2023 | 3.77 | — |
| Census 2025 | 4.21 | 2.15 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 3.60 | 2.19 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Somalia are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.