South Africa
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for South Africa, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 94M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 77M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 75M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 75M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 59M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 56.8M | — |
| UN 2012 | 63.4M | 64.1M |
| WIC 2013 | 63.2M | 59.0M |
| UN 2015 | 65.5M | — |
| UN 2017 | 72.8M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 71.4M | 68.1M |
| UN 2019 | 75.5M | 79.2M |
| IHME 2020 | 73.8M | 74.7M |
| UN 2022 | 73.5M | 74.6M |
| WIC 2023 | 68.5M | 59.0M |
| Census 2025 | 73.7M | 76.9M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 79.2M | 94.3M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for South Africa are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.74, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.70, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.72, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.62, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.75 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.75 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.88 | 1.70 |
| UN 2022 | 1.93 | 1.72 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.66 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.78 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.89 | 1.74 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for South Africa are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.