Taiwan
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Taiwan, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 10M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 14M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 11M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 15M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 12M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 20.2M | — |
| UN 2012 | 21.4M | 14.2M |
| UN 2015 | 20.8M | — |
| UN 2017 | 22.8M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 21.1M | 12.6M |
| UN 2019 | 22.4M | 16.3M |
| IHME 2020 | 21.0M | 10.9M |
| UN 2022 | 22.4M | 15.2M |
| WIC 2023 | 20.1M | 12.1M |
| Census 2025 | 22.1M | 14.0M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 19.4M | 10.0M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Taiwan are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.33, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.40, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.30, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.53, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.51, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2018 | 1.39 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.31 | 1.30 |
| UN 2022 | 1.41 | 1.53 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.43 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.08 | 1.33 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Taiwan are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.