Tajikistan
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Tajikistan, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 20M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 24M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 24M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 20M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 17M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 10.7M | — |
| UN 2012 | 15.1M | 21.3M |
| WIC 2013 | 8.76M | 7.90M |
| UN 2015 | 14.3M | — |
| UN 2017 | 14.5M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 12.9M | 12.4M |
| UN 2019 | 16.2M | 25.3M |
| IHME 2020 | 16.1M | 23.8M |
| UN 2022 | 15.2M | 20.4M |
| WIC 2023 | 14.6M | 16.9M |
| Census 2025 | 16.0M | 24.3M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 15.6M | 20.2M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Tajikistan are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.86, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.90, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 2.25, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.87, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.75, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.90 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.88 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.85 | 2.25 |
| UN 2022 | 2.40 | 1.87 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.09 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.50 | 1.90 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.35 | 1.86 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Tajikistan are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.