Tuvalu
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Tuvalu, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
3 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 12.3k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 12.2k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 14.2k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 12.7k | — |
| UN 2012 | 11.9k | 16.9k |
| UN 2015 | 11.1k | — |
| UN 2017 | 14.6k | — |
| UN 2019 | 16.0k | 20.0k |
| UN 2022 | 13.2k | 14.2k |
| Census 2025 | 13.3k | 12.2k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 9.78k | 12.3k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Tuvalu are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
3 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.95, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.97, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2022 | 2.55 | 1.97 |
| Census 2025 | 2.36 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.48 | 1.95 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Tuvalu are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.