Uganda
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Uganda, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 121M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 187M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 120M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 132M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 141M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 94.3M | — |
| UN 2012 | 104M | 205M |
| WIC 2013 | 93.1M | 154M |
| UN 2015 | 102M | — |
| UN 2017 | 106M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 101M | 165M |
| UN 2019 | 89.4M | 137M |
| IHME 2020 | 88.6M | 120M |
| UN 2022 | 87.6M | 132M |
| WIC 2023 | 90.8M | 141M |
| Census 2025 | 97.0M | 187M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 85.4M | 121M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Uganda are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.90, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.72, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.87, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.74, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 2.91 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 2.92 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.26 | 1.72 |
| UN 2022 | 2.57 | 1.87 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.86 | — |
| Census 2025 | 3.14 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.61 | 1.90 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Uganda are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.