Ukraine
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Ukraine, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 15M, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 19M, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 18M, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 20M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 27M, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 36.1M | — |
| UN 2012 | 33.7M | 24.6M |
| WIC 2013 | 36.6M | 28.7M |
| UN 2015 | 35.1M | — |
| UN 2017 | 36.4M | — |
| WIC 2018 | 37.7M | 33.1M |
| UN 2019 | 35.2M | 24.4M |
| IHME 2020 | 33.2M | 17.5M |
| UN 2022 | 32.9M | 20.4M |
| WIC 2023 | 35.0M | 27.3M |
| Census 2025 | 30.9M | 18.7M |
| UN 2024 (current) | 32.0M | 15.2M |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Ukraine are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 1.30, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.52, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.32, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1.58, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.49, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.60 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.60 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| UN 2022 | 1.49 | 1.58 |
| WIC 2023 | 1.49 | — |
| Census 2025 | 1.52 | 1.52 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 1.14 | 1.30 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Ukraine are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.