Vanuatu
Population projection
What forecasters project
Each forecaster’s central projection for Vanuatu, alongside earlier UN revisions. The newest vintage from each forecaster is shown; older revisions are in the legend.
Population: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 875.5k, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 499.1k, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 682.1k, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 1M, projected); WIC 2023 (2020–2100, latest 665.9k, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| UN 2010 | 513k | — |
| UN 2012 | 473k | 660k |
| WIC 2013 | 433k | 482k |
| UN 2015 | 476k | — |
| UN 2017 | 475k | — |
| WIC 2018 | 418k | 449k |
| UN 2019 | 557k | 968k |
| IHME 2020 | 516k | 682k |
| UN 2022 | 579k | 1.02M |
| WIC 2023 | 514k | 666k |
| Census 2025 | 433k | 499k |
| UN 2024 (current) | 534k | 875k |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Vanuatu are not listed.
Total fertility rate: forecasters and earlier UN revisions
5 series: UN 2024 (2000–2100, latest 2.12, projected); Census 2025 (2024–2100, latest 1.70, projected); IHME 2020 (2017–2100, latest 1.77, projected); UN 2022 (2021–2100, latest 2.12, projected); WIC 2023 (2015–2095, latest 1.70, projected).
| Revision | 2050 | 2100 |
|---|---|---|
| WIC 2013 | 1.90 | — |
| WIC 2018 | 1.91 | — |
| IHME 2020 | 2.42 | 1.77 |
| UN 2022 | 2.86 | 2.12 |
| WIC 2023 | 2.24 | — |
| Census 2025 | 2.02 | 1.70 |
| UN 2024 (current) | 2.80 | 2.12 |
Revisions with no 2050 or 2100 value for Vanuatu are not listed. UN revisions from 2010 to 2019 publish fertility as five-year period averages (e.g. 2045–2050), with no single-year value; their paths are in the chart above. Wittgenstein Centre values are five-year period averages shown at the period's first year (2050 = 2050–2055).
Sources, licenses, and attribution for every forecaster are listed in the methodology.